INDIA’S ECONOMY SLOWDOWN IN 2019

The Indian economy in 2019 had experienced a slowdown in some of its sectors. For example, the real estate sector struggled with growth and investors moved away from housing realty to commercial reality. The stalled projects in the housing realty led to a lot of issues for the sector which also affected the Indian economy as a whole since this sector is one of the major instruments for the growth of the economy. Although the report of the economy going through a recession was false, it didn’t just hit the expected growth. The Indian economy experienced more of a slow progression, but it wasn’t a recession for India. The reasons for this slow down are due to a lot of reasons such as demonetization, goods and services tax (GST), etc.

According to the Managing Director of the International Monetary Fund (IMF), Kristalina Georgieva stated that the growth projections had to be revised and a downward fall to four percent was experienced in the year 2019. However, the expectation for this year is at a 5.8 percent growth rate and for 2021, the expected growth rate should be at 6.5 percent. Also, the non-banking financial institutions in India went through a lot of unsteady and uncertainty, in which the union budget 2020 is supposed to provide relief to the sectors as banks are not supporting the proposal of the government to grant the non-banking finance sectors loans and monetary funds. Also, the demonization and unified tax system proposed by the government proved to have short term impact, there is no denying that they do have long term benefits after a period of time. Even though, they may have been disruptive for the short term.

The IMF has stated to remain optimistic on the growth of India, as the budget session goes on what could be hoped for is that the government procures remedial measures to help find solutions to the problem that led to the slowdown of the economy in 2019. The process of regaining back the economy to a stable and progressive point, towards the end of last year, the government had pumped in crores of rupees to revive the real estate sectors and provide funds to developers.

Several measures have been taken in other sectors and various sectors have put in place demands in policies that would be revised in the union budget. For example, the gold industry expectations for the budget in terms of import duties to ease the illegal smugglings and also revive consumer demand through the hallmarking policy, etc. The budget revenue collection has been below the target and it is necessary to increase budgetary revenues so as to improve the fiscal positions. Tight spending won’t be the right way to go about it this year, there should be a way to improve collections from the revenue side.

Mohit Kamboj is the author of this article. Find more information about Mohit Kamboj.

BANKS IN INDIA ARE RELUCTANT TO LEND TO NON-BANKING FINANCIERS

Banks in India are looking for ways to gently persuade the government of India to boost the funding of shadow banks. For more than a year, even with the support of the government for banks to lend non- banking financiers, the banks are still hesitant to loan non-banking finance companies due to the growing defaults caused by the Infrastructure Leasing and Financing services ltd (IL &FS). Although, the center has been pushing the banks to pay out money in the form of loans to fund these NBFC’s companies. There have been several meetings held to discuss this issue with the banking sectors in India. The Finance Minister Nirmala Sitharaman recently met with the banking sector chiefs to urge the disbursement of funds into the banking sectors. The Minister stated that the banking sectors should without fail start providing more loans to boost the Non-banking finance sectors (NBFC’s).

Banks in India are expressing their concerns when it comes to funding these sectors. Most of the banks have stated their point of view to the government. They expect the government to understand that they are protecting their interest first which is the priority. Although, they have started providing loans to only those non-banking finance companies that are state-owned as a way to manage their self- interest. The sector which has slowly deteriorated has been observed to be recovering due to the credit cash flow that is being deposited into the sector, according to the Reserve Bank of India (RBI). But, the banks are trying to differentiate between the good and not so good non-banking finance sectors in India. Since it is hard to differentiate banks have decided the loans would be granted only to non-banking finance companies that are supported either by the government and the state.

The banks expect that the sectors start making the repayment of loans with the servicing interest in the place. There can’t be a continued lending process if there is no reimbursement of interest and repayment done. This is to safeguard the interest of banks. For receiving cash credit or working capital limits from banks, the borrower needs to repay the interest, but once it is converted to a term loan, the borrower would be required to start repaying the entire loan in installments. According to reports, the repayments made by non- banking finance companies accounted for Rs. 2,399 crore of the overall total repayments worth Rs. 9,945 crore.

In order for the government to observe changes, there needs to be a formal arrangement that is made with the government of India to adjust the process of transfer of dividends. The reason the repayment has increased from these sectors is due to the policy declared by the banking sectors in India of converting credit limits into term loans. Also, banks such as Bank of Baroda (BOB) have gone against renewing the existing credit lines for several non-banking finance companies. They are now converting them to term loans to reap a higher repayment at intervals. There should also be several measures taken by the government to ensure the repayment of existing credit loans before lending to these sectors.

Mohit Kamboj is the author of this article. Find more information about Mohit Kamboj.

INVESTMENTS IN REAL ESTATE 2020

The real estate in India has gained momentum in comparison to the previous year. The help the sector has received from the government of India has been immensely productive in restoring the sector. In terms of funds and various initiatives, the government of India has put in place to grow the industry back to a flourishing state. This has led to various static projects restarting its development process and also providing the right amenities for real estate developers to continue the construction of those projects. The New Year has brought forth a new era of investments for the real estate sectors.

This sector is going through a transformational change this year. For a long duration of time, real estate in India has enjoyed support and financing from wealthy investors and equity firms. Although, the past few years the housing sectors in India’s real estate have experienced a low in investment and consumer demands have progressively declined. This is because of the changes in the Goods and services tax, Real Estate (Regulation and Development) Act, demonetization issues, and also changes in a few other policies.

Commercial sectors in real estate:

The commercial sectors have been blooming in comparison to other sectors such as residential properties. As investors are losing confidence in regards to investing in housing or residential properties due to policy change and also housing tax duties. Investors have started taking minimal interest in residential properties, whereas the commercial sector has been performing well. Investors and real estate dealers are eyeing the commercial projects and warehousing properties rigorously like never before. From an investment point of view, the commercial properties are beneficial when it comes to financial returns as it offers more attractive investment yield. The depreciation of capital percentage is at 3 to 12 percent. Also, the return on investments for commercial properties is higher than residential properties. Although the commercial sectors are doing much better and investing helps reap more return on investment (ROI), it is very important to research on the type of commercial property to invest in and also know the occupancy rates of different vicinities.

India is now flooded with several Multinational corporations (MNC) and technology companies that have a high demand for premium office spaces. The corporation and commercial property demand have been increasing despite temporary setbacks such as the continuing economic slowdown. In the area of BKC (Bandra Kurla Complex) alone, Tokyo-based Sumitomo Corporation has offered more than Rs 2,238 crore for a three-acre plot, where there would be a plantation of an office complex. Also, the Blackstone Group has bought one Bandra Kurla Complex office building for Rs 2,500 crore and is also in talks of buying another multi-crore property around the vicinity.

Commercial spaces and properties have proven to be an extremely lucrative sector in real estate that is attracting new investors due to the fact that investors now see a major investment area for reaping a return on investment. It is also has a more structured form of investment that investors find appealing. Therefore, the commercial sector is the right way to go now, when investing in real estate in 2020.

Mohit Kamboj is the author of this article. Find more information about Mohit Kamboj.

PRIVATE BANKS TAKING A SLOW PACE IN PROVIDING BENEFITS OF FALLING INTEREST

Private Banks in India are less eager than other sectors to provide the benefits of the falling interest rates that are supposed to be given to the customers according to the Reserve Bank of India (RBI). The lending rates have been cut back to 12bps in comparison to the Reserve Bank of India’s 135 bps rate cuts in respective to the previous year.

The main reason why the private banks are slow on granting their customers the interest rate cuts is because of their cost of funds. The cost of funds for the private banks in India is higher than the fund costs of other sectors and also their rivalries.

The private banks pay the highest interest to depositors in India. In the arrangement order, private banks come first in the payment of high-interest rates, followed by public sectors and then foreign banks. Depositors were paid a 6.71% interest in November 2019 according to the latest data. Public sectors paid 6.65% interest to depositors while foreign banks paid 5.38%.

The credit growth of Public sectors is very slow in comparison to other sectors. Therefore the need to mobilize deposits through the offering of higher interest rates to depositors is very little. Foreign banks in India are the ones who pay the least to depositors, which means that the lending rates are the cheapest amongst other categories of banks.

Why foreign banks pay the cheapest interest rates to depositors is because of various reasons. One factor is because foreign banks have limited franchises in retail and so in the absence of retail depositors, they don’t have to offer high deposits rates. Hence, their deposit rates are lower than in other baking sectors. As banks began pricing all fresh retail and small business loans to an external benchmark in October, the one-year median MCLR has dropped to 5 bps for all categories of lenders.

The process of setting interest rates by banking sectors is definitely at its core. The Central bank of India has also for several years been trying to make it more transparent. This has led to the change from benchmark prime lending rates (BPLR) to the base rate and to MCLR. It has also led to the change in external benchmark based lending interest rates.

The trend that is observed in the median lending rates of private banks is somewhat different from the trend in weighted average lending rates. This is because of the reduction in the cost of funds for larger and stronger private banks which has been higher. Therefore, the lending rate reduction for these banks have been higher in comparison to some of the smaller private banks.

The median one-year marginal cost of funds based lending rate for private banks fell at 12 basis points (bps) to 9.18% between the month of January and December 2019, comparing to the Reserve Bank of India’s cumulative 135 bps cut in its key policy rate to 5.15%.

Most bank loans are typically priced over the one-year MCLR which makes it the most tracked rate.

Mohit Kamboj is the author of this article. Find more information about Mohit Kamboj.

GOLD PRICE TODAY HITS A RS. 41000 MARK DUE TO THE IRAN-US CONFLICT

Gold price hits a mark above Rs. 41000 rupees amidst the conflicts between the US and Iran. President Donald Trump had issued an airstrike on Iran killing Iran soldiers and also important Iranian commander Qasem Soleimani. This had disrupted political stands between the countries.

The US President, Donald Trump detected a state of alert in regards to Iran’s missile forces, the United States has announced a warning strike if Iran attacks any American person or targeted location in America.

Amongst geopolitical issues and uncertainty, gold benefits immensely as investors move to the safe-haven metal. Trader’s flight towards the yellow metal has pushed gold prices to a new record high above an Rs. 41000 level to Rs. 41,096. The united stated and Iran’s political conflict has escalated over the weekend.

Bullion may witness an upside momentum on the safe-haven demands in the coming weeks. Palladium hit a $2,000 upward level reaching a new record high too.

In the US markets, spot gold surged high up to 1.5 percent to $1,579.55 per ounce in the apprehensive trade market and has reached its highest momentum record since April 2013.

Bullion remains a safe asset for investors during these conflicted times. Asian shares pushed towards a lower level on account of tensions in the Mideast supporting the bullion prices in both the global market and domestic market.

Spot gold may rise into a range of $1,595 to $1,614 per ounce, clearing resistance at $1,568.

The US Federal Reserve Bank acknowledges the current rate stance to be appropriate in their final policy meeting of 2019. It has been proposed that the lower interest rate reduces the opportunity cost of holding non-yielding bullion.

Silver gained 2 percent to $18.39 per ounce, whereas platinum rose at a level of 0.6 percent to $985.87.

India’s gold imports in the year 2019 fell at 12 percent to the lowest level it has ever been in three years, as retail buying faltered in the second half of the year after gold local prices rallied to a record high.

Gold price also gained due to the weakness in the US dollar. The depreciation of the dollar has been a huge advantage in supporting the bullion market. Also, the announcement by North Korea on the debut of a new strategic weapon has also supported the gold price moving towards a high record.

Iran also declared that it was ramping up its nuclear program. It announced its fifth step back from a nuclear deal saying it will forego the limit on the number of centrifuges that were mandated in the deal.

US President Donald Trump threatened sanctions against Baghdad for the move and stated that if troops did leave, Baghdad would have to pay Washington for the cost of the airbase there.

Gold futures crossed above Rs 41,000-level to a record Rs 41,096. It was trading at Rs 40,939 per 10 gram, up to 2.06 percent. Silver futures were also up 2.08 percent to Rs 48,514 per kg.

Mohit Kamboj is the author of this article. Find more information about Mohit Kamboj.

REAL ESTATE IS NOT POPULAR WITH MILLENNIALS IN INDIA

Gone are days where purchasing a house was more useful than leasing one. The present age wouldn't like to have anything to do with the weights of purchasing a house. The advances required, the EMI gathering, the 20 to 30 percent month to month compensation patterns and the absence of adaptability aren't advancing the purchasing of land among the Indian twenty to thirty-year-olds. The 1950s to 1980s considered genuine to be proprietorship as a type of pride, renown, money related security and furthermore as a grown-up toy. Putting cash in verifying your very own place was an achievement and a feeling of achievement. Be that as it may, today young people have various needs. They would prefer to spend on venturing to the far corners of the planet with the cash earned than go through their days settling up credits for a house. The Indian recent college grads need a way of life adaptability, so owning a house would prevent that from occurring. The significant things that Indian recent college grads would prefer to contribute their cash on, is to claim the most recent iPhone, another vehicle, or to support their next voyaging trip. The significant life decisions today are totally different from the more established age.

Leasing is less expensive than purchasing a house:

The cost of purchasing a house today is high. The rates go on from lakhs to crores of rupees, particularly in zones like Bandra or Andheri. The houses cost a fortune. It is a lot less expensive to live on a lease as opposed to going through years settling up home credits or EMI's to the separate bank. Numerous youths put resources into quarters sharing pads. This gives them access to meet new individuals and not be distant from everyone else. Indeed, even schools render places for understudies to remain for a modest rate.

The cost of purchasing a two-room, lobby and kitchen loft in Andheri is around Rs. 1.9 crores. In Hyderabad, it is roughly around Rs. 80 lakhs. In Mumbai, acquiring a house could liken to settling up near Rs. 50,000 month to month EMI portions, while leasing a house is around 30 percent. In this time, leasing a house is progressively helpful and an appropriate choice. That is the reason twenty to thirty-year-olds decide to lease a house than get one.

The multifaceted nature of obtaining a house:

The way toward obtaining a house is exceptionally dreary and upsetting. Recent college grads do everything on their cell phones. The way that the land areas haven't completely wandered into mechanical frameworks makes it less famous. The paper works and the hours spent at the bank isn't what the adolescents today are excited about. At the point when the land business becomes techno-smart and makes it simpler to do the way toward acquiring a house utilizing cell phones will make it increasingly well known with the twenty to thirty-year-olds.

The utilization of brilliant instruments:

Most twenty to thirty-year-olds utilize their telephones to buy a few things on the web. With the accessibility of online credit endorsements, online home loan moneylenders, shop contract banks and instruments to check property rates on the web, it will help impact the youthful recent college grads to think about acquiring a home for themselves. Yet, this could have its focal points and drawbacks. Online offices could prompt an obligation snare for twenty to thirty-year-olds.

India has far to go in the individual of the affecting the interest for genuine homes in the psyche of the young people today. However, purchasing a house is constantly something worth being thankful for with regards to making important ventures that would prompt budgetary security for what's to come. It is in every case best to get the privilege of budgetary data before going further with making a house buy.

Mohit Kamboj is the author of this article. Find more information about Mohit Kamboj.

GOVERNMENTAL PLANS TO IMPROVE THE ECONOMY OF INDIA, A GOOD INITIATIVE

The legislature of India is concentrating on various techniques to support financial development through putting resources into various parts, for example, land, banking segments, lodging fund organizations (HFCs), Non-banking account organizations (NBFCs), and so forth.

As per Mohit Kamboj, The activity taken by the money service of India uncovers the point by point intend to be executed by the legislature towards the advancement of the nation.

The CEA (Capital Expenditure Authorization) displayed a recap on the means taken by the legislature of India to bring the economy out of a 6 years absence of development state in the previous a half year. A portion of the measures taken by the administration additionally incorporate tax reductions on partnerships to improve the organization's hazard returns.

The account legislative assemblages of India have completed a few measures to improve the economy. One of those healing estimates taken in improving the liquidity in the market by getting out obligations worth more than 60 percent of 32 Central open segment ventures (CPSEs) over the most recent two months. They likewise made feasible for the capital stream to run with no obstacles as the administration bound together with an administrative for worldwide money related administrations.

In Mohit Kamboj's conclusion, one of the most evident choices that the administration has taken is the improvement toward the land segments, tying down assets for land to prosper and pending lodging divisions to continue constructional ventures.

Likewise, there have been enhancements seen towards banking recapitalization, credit extensions, and corporate assessment segments. Under the fractional credit ensure plot, the legislature has likewise booked endorsement for proposition worth Rs. 20,000 crores. Under this comparable plan, the non-banking fund organizations and the lodging money organizations have been given monetary related help.

The government provided the endorsement of Rs. 4.47 lakh crore which comprises of Rs. 1/29 lakh crore to the non-banking fund organizations and the lodging account organizations for the purchase out of advantages. In two days, the account service of India gave their endorsement towards 17 recommendations worth more than Rs 7,000 crore.

The legislative bodies have owned their evident expressions displaying the reality in the arrangement towards improving the financial measures of India.

"The impacts and aftereffects of the administrative plans can be seen in different parts of the general public," said Mohit Kamboj.

In separate of the activity made toward driving up interests the upward way, the legislature of India has sketched out an arrangement to incorporate India's economy with a 5 trillion dollar economy.

Mohit Kamboj is the author of this article. Find more information about Mohit Kamboj.